In this edition of the Global Risk Bulletin, we explore the growing political instability in Turkey, the impact of US military action on the Houthis in Yemen, and the infighting and challenges within South Africa’s coalition government.
World news in brief
A roundup of key political violence developments globally. Read this article
Elections on the agenda: Political instability in Turkey
The arrest of opposition leader and Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu – and the subsequent unrest – has highlighted deepening political divisions in Turkey and cast a spotlight on President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s strategy ahead of the 2028 presidential election. Read this article
Rocking the boat: The Houthis’ defiance and disruption
Between March and May 2025, the US carried out extensive airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen, while Iran signalled plans to scale back its support for the group. Despite these developments and a recent ceasefire deal with the US, the Houthis' domestic resilience and expanding network of allies suggest the group will continue to threaten regional and maritime security. Read this article
A coalition in contention: Infighting in South Africa’s Government of National Unity
South Africa’s GNU has faced significant challenges in resolving disputes among its ideologically diverse member parties. With 10 parties and no formal dispute resolution mechanism, further political infighting appears likely, raising concerns about the coalition’s stability. Read this article
