In this edition of the Global Risk Bulletin, we look at the potential for disruptive unrest in Peru’s mining provinces amid efforts to regulate the informal mining sector, examine Thailand and Cambodia’s domestic considerations sustaining a longstanding border dispute, and consider key dynamics driving unrest and political instability concerns in Côte d’Ivoire, Malawi, and Tanzania as elections approach.
World news in brief
A roundup of key political violence developments globally. Read this article
The road to regularisation: Illegal mining in Peru
Widespread blockades by informal miners in July 2025 disrupted mining activity in several copper-producing provinces as miners reject the government’s plans to end temporary permit systems that threaten their operations. With increased pressure from legislators and mining companies to address informal mining, further demonstrations are likely should the government fail to find a middle ground. Read this article
Beyond borders: The domestic dynamics behind the Thailand-Cambodia clash
The five-day border clash between Thailand and Cambodia in July forms part of a historic dispute over undesignated and culturally sensitive areas of their shared border. With internal political and economic considerations – including nationalist sentiment fuelled by pro-military elements in both countries – playing an important role in this latest escalation, prospects for a permanent resolution remain limited. Read this article
Polls under pressure: Political stability concerns in Malawi, Tanzania and Cote d’Ivoire’s upcoming elections
As several African countries head to the polls in the second half of 2025, democratic freedoms in many states continue to shrink. Political crackdowns have prompted public frustrations and heightened tensions, and as key elections approach in Côte d’Ivoire, Malawi, and Tanzania, these dynamics raise concerns over longer-term unrest and political stability. Read this article
