In this edition of the Global Risk Bulletin, we look at how escalating violence in Colombia could impact the country’s upcoming elections in 2026, assess the potential for tensions in the Horn of Africa to result in violent conflict, and consider how a shifting diplomatic landscape is impacting Israel’s security policy and the consequences for Israel-linked business.
World news in brief
A roundup of key political violence developments globally. Read this article
Escalating violence: Colombia’s security challenges
In 2025, a series of attacks by militant groups in Colombia has renewed criticism of President Gustavo Petro’s security policy. As the country approaches elections in March 2026, breakdowns and suspensions of peace negotiations with militant groups have increased fears of further violence in the coming months. Read this article
Enemies of enemies turn friends: Ethiopia and Eritrea’s complex conflict
Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s renewed push for an Ethiopian sea port has stoked tensions in the Horn of Africa, threatening the re-emergence of war between Ethiopia and Eritrea. However, the current dynamics lend themselves more to a continuation of the familiar proxy routine than open conflict. Read this article
Divestment and diplomacy: Israel’s strategic calculations under increasing international pressure
Opposition to Israel’s security policy has increased in recent months, including among some of its closest allies, in response to its actions in Gaza, the West Bank, Qatar and elsewhere. This shift will have diplomatic repercussions for Israel, and financial ramifications for Israel-linked business, but the extent to which this will affect Israel’s long-term decision-making remains uncertain. Read this article
