In this edition of the Global Risk Bulletin, we look at the Jordanian government’s response to protests in the wake of the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict, assess the prospects for allied rebel groups in Myanmar to challenge the junta’s grip on power, and discuss the fallout of escalating tensions in Europe and North America between pro-Palestine and pro-Israeli activists.
World news in brief
A roundup of key political violence developments globally. Read the article
Middle east
Jordan’s tough balancing act amid the Israel-Hamas conflict
Hamas’s attack on Israel on 7 October, and the ensuing air and ground offensive from Israel into Gaza, has raised numerous questions about the knock-on effects across the region. Various players, including Egypt, Iran and Qatar have longstanding interests and involvement in the Israel-Palestine question, and this recent attack has the potential to shake up several key dynamics and regional relationships. Read the article
Asia Pacific
Myanmar's Rebel Offensive: A watershed moment?
The offensive actions of a coalition of ethnic rebel groups known as the Three Brotherhood Alliance have prompted wider attacks from resistance groups across Myanmar since October. The successes of these attacks have put the ruling junta on the backfoot, and may point to a unified offensive gaining momentum. Read the article
Global
Tug-of-war: The wider repercussions of the Israel-Hamas conflict
Frequent, sizeable and continuing protests advocating for Israel’s right to carry out offensive operations against Hamas on the one hand, and in support of the Palestinian cause on the other, have rocked Europe and North America since the beginning of hostilities on 7 October. Rising tensions and numerous Islamophobic and anti-Semitic incidents have raised the prospect of more severe acts of violent extremism in the West. Read the article
